Breast cancer research and treatment. 2019 Apr 30. doi: 10.1007/s10549-019-05226-8. pii: 10.1007/s10549-019-05226-8 |
Prediction of chemotherapy benefit by EndoPredict in patients with breast cancer who received adjuvant endocrine therapy plus chemotherapy or endocrine therapy alone. |
Sestak I1, Martín M2, Dubsky P3, Kronenwett R4, Rojo F5, Cuzick J6, Filipits M7, Ruiz A8, Gradishar W9, Soliman H10, Schwartzberg L11, Buus R12, Hlauschek D13, Rodríguez-Lescure A14, Gnant M15 |
Abstract PURPOSE: EndoPredict (EPclin) is a prognostic test validated to inform decisions on adjuvant chemotherapy to endocrine therapy alone for patients with oestrogen receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer. Here, we determine the performance of EPclin for estimating 10-year distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI) rates for those who received adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET) alone compared to those with chemotherapy plus endocrine therapy (ET + C). METHODS: A total of 3746 women were included in this joint analysis. 2630 patients received 5 years of ET alone (ABCSG-6/8, TransATAC) and 1116 patients received ET + C (GEICAM 2003-02/9906). The primary objective was to evaluate the ability of EPclin to provide an estimate of the 10-year DR rate as a continuous function of EPclin separately for ET alone and ET + C. Cox proportional hazard models were used for these analyses. RESULTS: EPclin was highly prognostic for DR in women who received ET alone (HR 2.79 (2.49-3.13), P < 0.0001) as well as in those who received ET + C (HR 2.27 (1.99-2.59), P < 0.0001). Women who received ET + C had significantly smaller increases in 10-year DR rates with the increasing EPclin score than those receiving ET alone (EPclin = 5; 12% ET + C vs. 20% ET alone). We observed a significant positive interaction between EPclin and treatment groups (P- = 0.022). CONCLUSIONS: In this comparative non-randomised analysis, the rate of increase in DR with EPclin score was significantly reduced in women who received ET + C versus ET alone. Our indirect comparisons suggest that a high EPclin score can predict chemotherapy benefit in women with ER-positive, HER2-negative disease. |
KEYWORDS: Breast cancer, Chemotherapy, EndoPredict, Prediction |
Publikations ID: 31041683 Quelle: öffnen |