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    European urology focus. 2018 May 22. pii: S2405-4569(18)30123-8. doi: 10.1016/j.euf.2018.05.006
    Validation of the Social Security Administration Life Tables (2004-2014) in Localized Prostate Cancer Patients within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database.
    Preisser F1,  Bandini M2,  Mazzone E3,  Nazzani S4,  Marchioni M5,  Tian Z6,  Saad F7,  Pompe RS8,  Shariat SF9,  Heinzer H10,  Montorsi F11,  Huland H12,  Graefen M13,  Tilki D14,  Karakiewicz PI15
    Author information
    1Martini-Klinik Prostate Cancer Center, University Hospital Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany; Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, Division of Urology, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada. Electronic address: felixpreisser@gmx.de.
    2Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, Division of Urology, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada; Department of Urology and Division of Experimental Oncology, URI, Urological Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
    3Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, Division of Urology, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada; Department of Urology and Division of Experimental Oncology, URI, Urological Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
    4Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, Division of Urology, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada; Academic Department of Urology, IRCCS Policlinico San Donato, University of Milan, Milan, Italy.
    5Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, Division of Urology, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada; Department of Urology, SS Annunziata Hospital, "G.D'Annunzio" University of Chieti, Chieti, Italy.
    6Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, Division of Urology, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
    7Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, Division of Urology, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
    8Department of Urology, University Hospital Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
    9Department of Urology, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.
    10Martini-Klinik Prostate Cancer Center, University Hospital Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
    11Department of Urology and Division of Experimental Oncology, URI, Urological Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
    12Martini-Klinik Prostate Cancer Center, University Hospital Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
    13Martini-Klinik Prostate Cancer Center, University Hospital Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
    14Martini-Klinik Prostate Cancer Center, University Hospital Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany; Department of Urology, University Hospital Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
    15Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, Division of Urology, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
    Abstract

    BACKROUND: Accurate life expectancy estimation is crucial in clinical decision-making including management and treatment of clinically localized prostate cancer (PCa).

    OBJECTIVE: We hypothesized that Social Security Administration (SSA) life tables' derived survival estimates closely follow observed survival of PCa patients. To test this relationship, we examined 10-yr overall survival rates in patients with clinically localized PCa and compared it with survival estimates derived from the SSA life tables.

    PATIENTS AND METHODS: Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2004), we identified patients aged >50-<90yr. Follow-up was at least 10 yr for patients who did not die of disease or other causes.

    OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Monte Carlo method was used to define individual survival in years, according to the SSA life tables (2004-2014). Subsequently, SSA life tables' predicted survival was compared with observed survival rates in Kaplan-Meier analyses. Subgroup analyses were stratified according to treatment type and D'Amico risk classification.

    RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Overall, 39191 patients with localized PCa were identified. At 10-yr follow-up, the SSA life tables' predicted survival was 69.5% versus 73.1% according to the observed rate (p<0.0001). The largest differences between estimated versus observed survival rates were recorded for D'Amico low-risk PCa (8.0%), brachytherapy (9.1%), and radical prostatectomy (8.6%) patients. Conversely, the smallest differences were recorded for external beam radiotherapy (1.7%) and unknown treatment type (1.6%) patients.

    CONCLUSIONS: Overall, SSA life tables' predicted life expectancy closely approximate observed overall survival rates. However, SSA life tables' predicted rates underestimate by as much as 9.1% the survival in brachytherapy patients, as well as in D'Amico low-risk and radical prostatectomy patients. In these patient categories, an adjustment for the degree of underestimation might be required when counseling is provided in clinical practice.

    PATIENT SUMMARY: Social Security Administration (SSA) life tables' predicted life expectancy closely approximate observed overall survival rates. However, SSA life tables' predicted rates underestimate by as much as 9.1% the survival in brachytherapy patients, as well as in D'Amico low-risk and radical prostatectomy patients.


    Copyright © 2018 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

    KEYWORDS: Life expectancy, Prostate cancer, SEER database, Social Security life tables, Survival

    Publikations ID: 29802052
    Quelle: öffnen
     
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